CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d11e33e6416feee127f3714d1d84902bf760f89038a743d6d21550e89c7704a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 790.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 503.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 390.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 378$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 184.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…63a6backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 170.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 114.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 107.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…2921backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 103.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 90.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 67.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Black Phoenix | 72c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 56.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 53.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 50.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +54%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 36.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 32.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 31.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.