Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaff0baa87ebbf9a99ec60b3e6b20b750d2e84f1d345f80e79fd8301ef6ae4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 64c | 2,585$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.32 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 2,165$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 54c | 1,380$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.7 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20c | 1,257$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.07 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44c | 1,040$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 51c | 840.11$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 819.39$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 21c | 376.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 16c | 327$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 279.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 63c | 244.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 238.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18c | 166.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…39c2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 149.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 91.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 19c | 90.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 75.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 66.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 66c | 47.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 80c | 36.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…df20backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 26.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…5f69backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 60c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…8eb1backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…5ad9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 79c | 13.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyesthis page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 151.5Under won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-8.5)Notre Dame Fighting Irish won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.