CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab007f1bbb9d467df7ebcddb8b64f813f0493e185066c0d62e98a3fb171f2f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Fake do Biru, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 1,045$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 817.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fake do Biru | 12c | 811.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Fake do Biru | 13c | 799.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Fake do Biru | 12c | 638.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 601.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 546.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Fake do Biru | 13c | 407.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fake do Biru | 12c | 404.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 12c | 301.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Fake do Biru | 8c | 182$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…cbe6backed Fake do Biru | 9c | 151.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Fake do Biru | 10c | 137.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Fake do Biru | 10c | 132$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fake do Biru | 15c | 117.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Fake do Biru | 12c | 85.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.