CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc489b60d32ccfd967f9c3334161f5d85939fee553b7dcd0efcdb7a692e60269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof Fake do Biru, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 69c | 1,091$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 1,011$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 821.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 720.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 72c | 307.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed 9z | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Fake do Biru | 28c | 236.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 9z | 71c | 219.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 75c | 215.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 9z | 66c | 167.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 9z | 70c | 153.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 143.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…8857backed 9z | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 9z | 69c | 101.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 17c | 93.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 86.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 69.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Fake do Biru | 22c | 57.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 9z | 71c | 51.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z | 69c | 50.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed 9z | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 38.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed 9z | 72c | 34.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked 9z | 78c | 33.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.