Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab02865930bb31424e6e3adadd2f1edf8cb5bae24c02eb240d3f6c19cd95632f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of KRÜ Esports, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9 | 69c | 334.13$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Cloud9 | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Cloud9 | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cloud9 | 65c | 275.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 261$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 257.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked KRÜ Esports | 31c | 249.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Cloud9 | 61c | 242.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 144.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed KRÜ Esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KRÜ Esports | 34c | 73.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 65c | 53.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 46.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cloud9 | 68c | 45.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Cloud9 | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Cloud9 | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.