CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab06201ec248b9c71a38ed9ed78e9d79c34bd950839f73c09604b2ae594a45fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Pigeons, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 53c | 2,435$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.12 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pigeons | 49c | 1,469$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pigeons | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Rebels Gaming | 27c | 287.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rebels Gaming | 79c | 274.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Pigeons | 52c | 263.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rebels Gaming | 44c | 230.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Pigeons | 47c | 209.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Rebels Gaming | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Rebels Gaming | 20c | 140.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pigeons | 39c | 82.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ad…a1c5backed Pigeons | 22c | 59.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa473…be73backed Pigeons | 32c | 56.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…6a0cbacked Pigeons | 61c | 48.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Pigeons | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Pigeons | 45c | 44.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Pigeons | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Pigeons | 61c | 39.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Pigeons | 45c | 22.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pigeons | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 WinnerPigeons won
- Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.