Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Dominika Salkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab0ee95b90e127a4efb0ccf59c132f3a11a9df6aea551a0e48fad746d0db4642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salkovaof Sobolieva, Salkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Sobolieva | 30c | 18,134$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.47 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Salkova | 69c | 8,996$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.07 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Salkova | 73c | 5,935$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.19 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sobolieva | 0c | 4,112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Salkova | 71c | 3,181$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Salkova | 70c | 2,220$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sobolieva | 25c | 2,186$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sobolieva | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Salkova | 73c | 1,061$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Sobolieva | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sobolieva | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Salkova | 73c | 229.23$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sobolieva | 28c | 219.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sobolieva | 14c | 212.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Sobolieva | 11c | 190.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Salkova | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sobolieva | 14c | 132.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Sobolieva | 26c | 114.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Sobolieva | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sobolieva | 37c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Sobolieva | 37c | 82.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Salkova | 77c | 80.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Salkova | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Salkova | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sobolieva | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Salkova | 68c | 48.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Sobolieva | 23c | 44.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sobolieva | 22c | 44.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Salkova | 65c | 40.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sobolieva | 27c | 38.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Salkova | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Sobolieva | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Salkova | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Salkova | 73c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salkova | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed Salkova | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…66afbacked Salkova | 64c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Les Sables d'Olonne: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Dominika Salkovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sobolieva vs SalkovaSalkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.