Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab15cfe905e39c812ce4b4e571cc1e16f57cc3f419574a8ad27ba3f92c433c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Gujarat Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 48c | 480.09$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Gujarat Titans | 54c | 360.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 62c | 346.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Gujarat Titans | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…65b4backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 179.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 115.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Gujarat Titans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…6deebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…b0c7backed Gujarat Titans | 47c | 61.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Gujarat Titans | 51c | 49.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Gujarat Titans | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…48ccbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 36.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…8749backed Gujarat Titans | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…99aebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 24.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 145 | 27.6%40 W · 105 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…316cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…0c6cbacked Gujarat Titans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…94ffbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat TitansRoyal Challengers Bangalore won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.