CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab21d0a25e6bd3af27fdb9a5f95c557e4dd49a3fd0a18eb7c0d65ead57fb5c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof Sinners, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Sinners | 55c | 3,818$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.01 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Sinners | 56c | 3,261$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Sinners | 49c | 1,831$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.55 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WHITEBIRD | 41c | 1,622$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed WHITEBIRD | 42c | 940.79$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked WHITEBIRD | 60c | 581$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked WHITEBIRD | 62c | 557.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sinners | 58c | 531.61$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.33 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sinners | 21c | 478.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Sinners | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WHITEBIRD | 43c | 420$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 38c | 365.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed WHITEBIRD | 55c | 315.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sinners | 53c | 314.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Sinners | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WHITEBIRD | 63c | 249.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Sinners | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sinners | 61c | 192.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed WHITEBIRD | 43c | 163.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed WHITEBIRD | 55c | 163.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed Sinners | 34c | 162.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WHITEBIRD | 43c | 135.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked WHITEBIRD | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD | 48c | 115.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked WHITEBIRD | 33c | 111.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 67c | 111.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed WHITEBIRD | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WHITEBIRD | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Sinners | 52c | 90.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked WHITEBIRD | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed WHITEBIRD | 47c | 71.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WHITEBIRD | 41c | 65.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed WHITEBIRD | 57c | 49.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed WHITEBIRD | 43c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Sinners | 63c | 43.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked WHITEBIRD | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Sinners | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4054…2ec3backed WHITEBIRD | 37c | 37.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Sinners | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Sinners | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Sinners | 46c | 30.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 PlayoffsWHITEBIRD won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs WHITEBIRD - Map 1 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.