TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ONSIDE GAMINGof ARETE, ONSIDE GAMING
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06c0…e618backed ONSIDE GAMING74c1,471$1,081 inWon+$389.575362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed ARETE27c700$189 inLost-$18914032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked ARETE25c300$75 inLost-$758334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked ARETE27c200$54 inLost-$544146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked ARETE26c140$36 inLost-$36.49441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ARETE29c136.94$39 inLost-$39.4190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed ARETE13c105.27$14 inLost-$13.8531634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ARETE25c99.49$24 inLost-$24.4769722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ARETE28c92.27$26 inLost-$25.5284838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ONSIDE GAMING51c69.49$36 inWon+$33.7440731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ARETE28c68$19 inLost-$19.0496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ARETE25c67$17 inLost-$16.7577744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ARETE17c62.43$11 inLost-$10.811,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ARETE28c61.14$17 inLost-$17.270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ONSIDE GAMING76c49.54$38 inWon+$11.9142140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ONSIDE GAMING70c30$21 inWon+$91,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked ONSIDE GAMING70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.5727360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed ONSIDE GAMING65c17.75$12 inWon+$6.214456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked ONSIDE GAMING76c16$12 inWon+$3.8432157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.