Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba81e381da4cf0d54581e2637fdd5e2ccf27f6bf58eaf92000526d5338b19fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuopion PSof Universitatea Craiova CS, Kuopion PS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 13c | 2,008$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kuopion PS | 78c | 263.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kuopion PS | 77c | 226.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kuopion PS | 77c | 221.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 21c | 151.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Kuopion PS | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 23c | 124.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 21c | 100.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kuopion PS | 79c | 97.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Universitatea Craiova CS | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kuopion PS | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Kuopion PS | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Kuopion PS | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)this page
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Kuopion PS O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Kuopion PS O/U 1.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)Kuopion PS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.