Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc4d5cdc0adfd1d302fe3a78286b63b0545043254eb4ac719c12b629ec45a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Norrie, Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Duckworth | 55c | 2,918$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.95 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Norrie | 21c | 1,819$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.18 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Norrie | 71c | 1,098$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.97 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Duckworth | 74c | 573.8$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.16 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Norrie | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Norrie | 62c | 311.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Duckworth | 77c | 218.85$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Duckworth | 34c | 202$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Norrie | 34c | 161.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Duckworth | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Norrie | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…fee9backed Norrie | 54c | 103.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Duckworth | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duckworth | 65c | 39.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Norrie | 60c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 288 | 48.3%139 W · 149 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8466…c2c9backed Norrie | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Duckworth | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Duckworththis page
- Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James DuckworthCameron Norrie won
- Norrie vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Norrie vs. Duckworth: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Norrie vs DuckworthNorrie won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Duckworth (+1.5)Norrie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.