TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs James Duckworth

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cameron Norrieof Cameron Norrie, James Duckworth
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed James Duckworth11c56,850$6,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,436.028,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed James Duckworth35c21,309$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.511,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Cameron Norrie61c18,157$11,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.1817850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed James Duckworth34c17,091$5,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,729.031,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Cameron Norrie51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9713239.4%52 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed James Duckworth5c8,514$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.261,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed James Duckworth12c6,700$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80432735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked James Duckworth40c5,214$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.9536545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked James Duckworth33c4,673$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.944,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed James Duckworth29c4,303$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.592,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed James Duckworth14c3,574$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed James Duckworth34c3,204$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.853,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Cameron Norrie73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.81,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Cameron Norrie56c2,629$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.6564540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cameron Norrie76c2,193$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed James Duckworth26c2,157$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.211,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Cameron Norrie58c1,670$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.035,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cameron Norrie70c1,583$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Cameron Norrie74c1,566$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.224669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Cameron Norrie71c1,549$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.360053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Cameron Norrie67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.541154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked James Duckworth20c1,488$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.562,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Cameron Norrie71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4512467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked James Duckworth60c1,400$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8405143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed James Duckworth46c1,298$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.921,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed James Duckworth20c1,268$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0632329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed James Duckworth26c1,221$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.222,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cameron Norrie72c1,202$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.583,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed James Duckworth30c1,190$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1250442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Cameron Norrie72c1,156$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.553,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2938…235fbacked Cameron Norrie74c1,070$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.273046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed James Duckworth27c1,011$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f3…7e0bbacked James Duckworth20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed James Duckworth19c989.47$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Cameron Norrie48c915.12$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.121,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked James Duckworth11c907.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0319256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed James Duckworth24c903.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6839648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c5…5ad1backed James Duckworth12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked James Duckworth29c819$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.121,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed James Duckworth21c786.01$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.32,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Cameron Norrie72c729.13$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9652661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked James Duckworth14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed James Duckworth5c697.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1830931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked James Duckworth4c668.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed James Duckworth11c639.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9995050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395e…cba5backed James Duckworth2c628$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e6…9d86backed James Duckworth9c608$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked James Duckworth46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27645036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed James Duckworth29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed James Duckworth4c555.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6753644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed James Duckworth27c555.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed James Duckworth29c539.88$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.811,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked James Duckworth31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Cameron Norrie65c475$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7522346.6%104 W · 119 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed James Duckworth27c370.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9813435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Cameron Norrie74c335.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.911157.7%64 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10bc…0b14backed Cameron Norrie74c319.54$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0810573.3%77 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked James Duckworth38c314.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6451744.7%231 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed James Duckworth32c310.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3118829.8%56 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked James Duckworth25c294.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2417748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed James Duckworth34c294.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Cameron Norrie73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.216848.2%81 W · 87 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed James Duckworth27c277.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0112035.8%43 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked James Duckworth54c253.66$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.772,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked James Duckworth26c249.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6526345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked James Duckworth26c239.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked James Duckworth34c231.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed James Duckworth22c228.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017835.4%63 W · 115 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked James Duckworth34c225.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cameron Norrie78c224.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.672,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed James Duckworth37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed James Duckworth28c213.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Cameron Norrie71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed James Duckworth55c203.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0924440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked James Duckworth28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9244946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed James Duckworth28c197.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2725633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f4…82ebbacked Cameron Norrie73c191.92$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.928140.7%33 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…e9f5backed James Duckworth19c186$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed James Duckworth8c184.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked James Duckworth25c184.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0517147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed James Duckworth28c181.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.911,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed James Duckworth24c176.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.061,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed James Duckworth46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Cameron Norrie74c165.71$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.851,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed James Duckworth26c164.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.239446.7%184 W · 210 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa211…aaaabacked James Duckworth11c162$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed James Duckworth58c155.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Cameron Norrie66c154.61$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.012171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Cameron Norrie71c150.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7310764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Cameron Norrie67c150.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.174961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Cameron Norrie74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed James Duckworth13c145.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.952857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+85.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cameron Norrie71c143$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.472,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cameron Norrie71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8941955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Cameron Norrie71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8517372.3%125 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Cameron Norrie74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7818968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Cameron Norrie68c133.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7884968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Cameron Norrie80c129.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4472147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Cameron Norrie66c127.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2414133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cameron Norrie73c125.62$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.