CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdadd58907ed848ac1e5f1d848dc255854925a8e5ba5075d576ed68579e78b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed SPARTA | 78c | 5,689$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.7 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Falcons Force | 22c | 1,906$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Falcons Force | 20c | 1,347$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SPARTA | 78c | 1,100$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Falcons Force | 25c | 765.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 32c | 520.55$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Falcons Force | 22c | 436.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 67c | 434.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed SPARTA | 75c | 372.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Falcons Force | 8c | 360$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 15c | 329.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Falcons Force | 24c | 295.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Falcons Force | 24c | 293$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…eff8backed Falcons Force | 25c | 290.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 18c | 228.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Falcons Force | 23c | 205.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 21c | 196.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Falcons Force | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Falcons Force | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Falcons Force | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Falcons Force | 22c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Falcons Force | 25c | 135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Falcons Force | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Falcons Force | 25c | 130.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Falcons Force | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Falcons Force | 22c | 110.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Falcons Force | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Falcons Force | 23c | 93.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Falcons Force | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Falcons Force | 24c | 81.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed SPARTA | 74c | 50.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked SPARTA | 74c | 50.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Falcons Force | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed SPARTA | 77c | 22.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked SPARTA | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.