CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665a919f7addf0697d65367d637e677208166a759a0a54d3be2a553a2d242ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SPARTA | 55c | 2,172$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SPARTA | 68c | 747.38$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Falcons Force | 35c | 661.67$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Falcons Force | 35c | 647.34$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.85 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Falcons Force | 55c | 603.84$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Falcons Force | 32c | 563$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.12 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SPARTA | 56c | 550.3$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.38 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 39c | 542$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Falcons Force | 40c | 507.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 63c | 498.08$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Falcons Force | 59c | 492.69$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Falcons Force | 50c | 412.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 50c | 383.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Falcons Force | 41c | 354$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 31c | 354$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked SPARTA | 57c | 349.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked SPARTA | 46c | 293.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed SPARTA | 33c | 291.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed SPARTA | 62c | 246$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Falcons Force | 45c | 222.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Falcons Force | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Falcons Force | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…57ecbacked Falcons Force | 37c | 171.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SPARTA | 65c | 161.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed SPARTA | 60c | 159.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Falcons Force | 47c | 150.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Falcons Force | 39c | 145.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…c0f6backed Falcons Force | 12c | 145.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Falcons Force | 28c | 145$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Falcons Force | 72c | 139.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force | 16c | 137.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed SPARTA | 68c | 125.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 112.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked SPARTA | 60c | 111.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Falcons Force | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Falcons Force | 55c | 104.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Falcons Force | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Falcons Force | 41c | 96.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Falcons Force | 33c | 92.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 16c | 89.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Falcons Force | 57c | 89.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed SPARTA | 64c | 85.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Falcons Force | 43c | 80.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed Falcons Force | 56c | 77.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 59c | 75.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Falcons Force | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed SPARTA | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Falcons Force | 19c | 62.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed SPARTA | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed SPARTA | 69c | 57.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Falcons Force | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Falcons Force | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked SPARTA | 65c | 52.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked SPARTA | 50c | 50.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Falcons Force | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked SPARTA | 79c | 49.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Falcons Force | 33c | 43.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked SPARTA | 72c | 41.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Falcons Force | 41c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 49c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked SPARTA | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef3…35b1backed SPARTA | 75c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Falcons Force (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.