CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2f1313ed0a3b0eedbfb144b80450d045956e3838092bc5fc61f1651a8be932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Drip Too Hard, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Just Players | 65c | 2,009$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.32 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Drip Too Hard | 12c | 1,296$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Drip Too Hard | 37c | 665.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked Drip Too Hard | 10c | 566.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Drip Too Hard | 24c | 542.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Drip Too Hard | 36c | 513.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Just Players | 62c | 477.51$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Drip Too Hard | 35c | 466.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drip Too Hard | 34c | 412.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Drip Too Hard | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 70c | 399.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Drip Too Hard | 18c | 368.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Drip Too Hard | 34c | 331.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Drip Too Hard | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Just Players | 79c | 231.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Drip Too Hard | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Just Players | 61c | 201.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Just Players | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 77c | 107$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Drip Too Hard | 13c | 85.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Just Players | 77c | 72.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Just Players | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Drip Too Hard | 19c | 56.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Just Players | 79c | 43.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Just Players | 77c | 32.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Just Players | 75c | 30.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Drip Too Hard | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Just Players | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Just Players | 68c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Just Players | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Just Players | 69c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Just Players | 62c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerDrip Too Hard won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Drip Too Hard (+1.5)Drip Too Hard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.