CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb7bde19bacea7bbdbadbe181c2e0d9d3a4f4521de1d58ac9bde50d10ffb521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drip Too Hardof Drip Too Hard, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Drip Too Hard | 54c | 2,016$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.43 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Drip Too Hard | 33c | 1,200$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Just Players | 8c | 1,139$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Drip Too Hard | 54c | 1,074$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Just Players | 50c | 1,062$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Drip Too Hard | 80c | 628.9$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Drip Too Hard | 67c | 626.83$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…38eebacked Just Players | 16c | 607.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Drip Too Hard | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Just Players | 40c | 549.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.43 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 26c | 541.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Drip Too Hard | 52c | 496.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.51 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Drip Too Hard | 72c | 468.5$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Just Players | 32c | 458$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Drip Too Hard | 64c | 380.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Just Players | 53c | 376.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.21 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…4c30backed Just Players | 54c | 358.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Just Players | 37c | 357.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Drip Too Hard | 49c | 349.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Just Players | 59c | 340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Just Players | 27c | 338.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…711abacked Drip Too Hard | 29c | 335.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Drip Too Hard | 46c | 332.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Just Players | 28c | 323.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Drip Too Hard | 50c | 301.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Drip Too Hard | 49c | 270.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Just Players | 54c | 262.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 36c | 257.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Just Players | 47c | 244.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Just Players | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Drip Too Hard | 55c | 237.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Drip Too Hard | 46c | 203.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Just Players | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Just Players | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Drip Too Hard | 66c | 193.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Drip Too Hard | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 26c | 173.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Drip Too Hard | 66c | 167.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 46c | 140.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Just Players | 27c | 114.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Just Players | 23c | 111$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Just Players | 30c | 108.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Just Players | 45c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Just Players | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Drip Too Hard | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked Just Players | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed Just Players | 51c | 97.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Drip Too Hard | 51c | 95.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Drip Too Hard | 76c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Just Players | 20c | 87.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Drip Too Hard | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 32c | 75.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Drip Too Hard | 60c | 66.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 57c | 62.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Just Players | 50c | 61.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Just Players | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Just Players | 71c | 48.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Just Players | 66c | 48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Drip Too Hard | 64c | 47.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Drip Too Hard | 54c | 42.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Just Players | 67c | 41.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Just Players | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Drip Too Hard | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…afbfbacked Just Players | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Drip Too Hard | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Drip Too Hard | 59c | 37.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…73f5backed Drip Too Hard | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed Drip Too Hard | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drip Too Hard | 50c | 34.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Drip Too Hard | 64c | 33.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Drip Too Hard | 62c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Drip Too Hard | 71c | 27.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Drip Too Hard | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Drip Too Hard | 71c | 17.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2c…acc2backed Drip Too Hard | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Drip Too Hard (+1.5)Drip Too Hard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.