Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5019244094bd52b486c0685da67aab39349b1764d8aa4b445f669aad694eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DePaul Blue Demonsof DePaul Blue Demons, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed DePaul Blue Demons | 51c | 8,374$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 3,637$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.66 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 2,317$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.09 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 2,057$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 55c | 1,684$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.32 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed DePaul Blue Demons | 50c | 1,287$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 1,107$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.57 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed DePaul Blue Demons | 54c | 987.01$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 48c | 907.75$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.03 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 635.71$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 337$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…7a8dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 48c | 174.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 74c | 106$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed DePaul Blue Demons | 47c | 100.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed DePaul Blue Demons | 44c | 90.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 90.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d36…cc47backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 87.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…f480backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 87.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DePaul Blue Demons | 51c | 75.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed DePaul Blue Demons | 30c | 71.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed DePaul Blue Demons | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed DePaul Blue Demons | 47c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 35.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed DePaul Blue Demons | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked DePaul Blue Demons | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: DePaul Blue Demons (-3.5)this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue DemonsDePaul Blue Demons won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 142.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demons: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.