Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Martin Borisiouk vs Arvid Nordquist
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac536f4585c4433cde6933ebbf507cfa284bd6ae1be5c1c4d42266de4ed2d87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Borisioukof Martin Borisiouk, Arvid Nordquist
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arvid Nordquist | 22c | 2,148$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Arvid Nordquist | 50c | 900$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martin Borisiouk | 57c | 469.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Arvid Nordquist | 37c | 399.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 269.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Arvid Nordquist | 35c | 265.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Martin Borisiouk | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Martin Borisiouk | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Martin Borisiouk | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Martin Borisiouk | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Martin Borisiouk | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 122.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Martin Borisiouk | 76c | 106.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arvid Nordquist | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Martin Borisiouk | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Arvid Nordquist | 32c | 53.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Arvid Nordquist | 25c | 52.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Arvid Nordquist | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Martin Borisiouk | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Martin Borisiouk | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arvid Nordquist | 64c | 28.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Arvid Nordquist | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arvid Nordquist | 74c | 24.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Martin Borisiouk | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Borisiouk | 68c | 23.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…31b8backed Martin Borisiouk | 65c | 22.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Martin Borisiouk | 69c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.