Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac880254c94e55f4ea7e88a0166495be4c9a9e2c250046541a7242dce7447bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, ZYB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Solary | 71c | 898.21$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Solary | 75c | 553.33$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed ZYB Esport | 29c | 539.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Solary | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed ZYB Esport | 30c | 306.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked ZYB Esport | 29c | 286.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Solary | 71c | 154.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked ZYB Esport | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Solary | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked ZYB Esport | 23c | 83.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Solary | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc8…d12ebacked Solary | 80c | 62.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Solary | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ZYB Esport | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed ZYB Esport | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Solary | 72c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ZYB Esport | 25c | 42.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Solary | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed ZYB Esport | 28c | 40.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Solary | 71c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Solary | 71c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.