Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480c40361aad40d8c90556c372157e76c9ff16709473a918739ad6b9b958ff8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 28c | 936.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 71c | 711.65$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Over | 28c | 382$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 72c | 367$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 73c | 238.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Over | 29c | 204.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Under | 77c | 178$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Under | 72c | 153.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 428 | 43.2%185 W · 243 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Over | 43c | 144.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3,182 | 33.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L | -151.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Under | 57c | 115.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 75c | 81.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 68c | 80.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 29c | 70.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 453 | 44.4%201 W · 252 L | -30.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 27c | 65.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Under | 73c | 60.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 631 | 49.9%315 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 71c | 57.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed Over | 32c | 56.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…cf00backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Over | 28c | 47.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 269 | 56.5%152 W · 117 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 230 | 40.4%93 W · 137 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 72c | 40.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 72c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 73c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…0f04backed Under | 75c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Under | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs ZYB Esport (+1.5)Solary won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs ZYB Esport - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.