Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open, Qualification: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elizabeth Mandlik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacb0d95718e641d58ce750f14938659b1ebadf9006eb944cbaae763ba1ff2a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mandlikof Fruhvirtova, Mandlik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fruhvirtova | 26c | 3,390$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.75 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mandlik | 73c | 3,075$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.12 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Fruhvirtova | 34c | 2,679$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.73 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fruhvirtova | 30c | 1,941$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.81 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mandlik | 67c | 1,416$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mandlik | 57c | 984.28$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mandlik | 56c | 883.18$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.05 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Fruhvirtova | 22c | 842$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Fruhvirtova | 72c | 831.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mandlik | 69c | 717.9$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Fruhvirtova | 22c | 695.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mandlik | 58c | 468.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Mandlik | 36c | 462.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mandlik | 41c | 354.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Fruhvirtova | 55c | 338.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.56 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fruhvirtova | 33c | 336$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fruhvirtova | 33c | 323$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…d404backed Fruhvirtova | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mandlik | 60c | 289.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mandlik | 30c | 283.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Fruhvirtova | 36c | 225$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Mandlik | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mandlik | 35c | 187.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Fruhvirtova | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Fruhvirtova | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fruhvirtova | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Fruhvirtova | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mandlik | 30c | 72.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mandlik | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Mandlik | 30c | 66.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fruhvirtova | 70c | 63.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mandlik | 30c | 60.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Mandlik | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Mandlik | 30c | 53.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fruhvirtova | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Fruhvirtova | 42c | 48.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mandlik | 67c | 43.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Fruhvirtova | 52c | 32.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Fruhvirtova | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Fruhvirtova | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.