Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: High Point Panthers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaceb9682945d0e9fae83a9250487ef3f8a8f7ab1cc9b6a8954519362c4a4874a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- High Point Panthersof High Point Panthers, UNC Asheville Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed High Point Panthers | 53c | 16,311$8,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,666.38 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed High Point Panthers | 52c | 3,500$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 50c | 1,290$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 544.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 414.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 51c | 159$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 140.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54f…f282backed High Point Panthers | 54c | 38.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: High Point Panthers (-10.5)this page
- High Point Panthers vs. UNC Asheville BulldogsHigh Point Panthers won
- High Point Panthers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 152.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.