Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacec2f2878d73cd896f70356ad008fe256cc25039bdd8cb84a95466380323627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 39c | 2,779$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 60c | 2,017$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.06 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 62c | 715.27$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 45c | 667.6$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 64c | 514$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 61c | 408.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 62c | 262.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 63c | 246.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 59c | 208.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 57c | 192.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 178.89$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 63c | 129$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 38c | 127.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 36c | 56.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 64c | 26.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…cc86backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…dd19backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsthis page
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-3.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.