TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 131.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac50…7b2dbacked Under51c7,559$3,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,855.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c1…fab8backed Over49c7,510$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da8…5127backed Over49c7,345$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d41…3ac8backed Under51c7,166$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c2,155$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Over48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9944452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over48c652.92$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5218548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over49c606.89$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under51c224.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.362,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c193.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under52c189.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4785248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under53c144.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.646248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Over49c99.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a4…d4d7backed Over50c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c68.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under52c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7431057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over49c40.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.625350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8627350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over49c29.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1719445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…4108backed Over54c27.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.896546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c22.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.560954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…3efdbacked Over50c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.583751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.