TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersof Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, Southeastern Louisiana Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c18,513$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.2724351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c15,801$7,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,532.7789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c3,908$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.6574051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders47c3,581$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.791,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c2,375$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.642,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c930$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.22,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c739.5$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.322,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders50c594.75$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c478.31$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions51c444.45$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c432.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c225.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders47c148.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9321937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders45c132.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.343,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders48c103.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.694,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c91.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2523754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c78.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1411243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions51c63.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.323,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders46c50.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.38055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e0…2bb0backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders50c39.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80df…87fcbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders49c22.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders50c20.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1115850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Southeastern Louisiana Lions54c18.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.