Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf6255ebd324cc00a64dc6457cb6ec81babde1be30baa4eacac0bd26ceff1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Mandatory, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mandatory | 22c | 1,793$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 70c | 1,631$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.34 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FOKUS | 55c | 551.61$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Mandatory | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Mandatory | 35c | 427.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 65c | 426.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Mandatory | 23c | 352.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mandatory | 36c | 323.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 66c | 313.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked FOKUS | 71c | 261.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Mandatory | 34c | 256.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mandatory | 40c | 224$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FOKUS | 57c | 167.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mandatory | 37c | 154.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Mandatory | 15c | 136$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mandatory | 32c | 115.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mandatory | 32c | 114.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Mandatory | 69c | 113.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Mandatory | 19c | 90.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mandatory | 35c | 86.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed FOKUS | 51c | 62.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed FOKUS | 75c | 53.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FOKUS | 71c | 49.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Mandatory | 39c | 48.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked FOKUS | 66c | 48.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mandatory | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed FOKUS | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 63c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Mandatory | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.