CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ALGO Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad08eb30c9b530107827b4f989f92ccec614d34068ae37bf7d8f76be0414e553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.95 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked ALGO Esports | 39c | 1,552$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 1,446$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 1,162$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 894.1$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.7 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked ALGO Esports | 41c | 735.59$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ALGO Esports | 38c | 694.27$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 640.75$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed ALGO Esports | 41c | 599.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 595.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed ALGO Esports | 40c | 580.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 503.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…57d7backed ALGO Esports | 38c | 471.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed ALGO Esports | 40c | 417.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 341.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 338.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed ALGO Esports | 37c | 327.07$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 277.09$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 237.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 211.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed ALGO Esports | 39c | 206.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked ALGO Esports | 39c | 178.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 164.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked ALGO Esports | 41c | 145.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 129$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 120.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 115.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked ALGO Esports | 40c | 72.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ALGO Esports | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…0c10backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 63.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 62.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed ALGO Esports | 35c | 42.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…fdf3backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 28.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ALGO Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.