CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad11f8b3d1b268dc4853c41bab68382d2dfa242faad9ce97788760a09b128e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof Noir Verse, ex-Sashi Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse | 39c | 1,031$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Noir Verse | 64c | 920$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.84 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed ex-Sashi Academy | 39c | 668.49$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Sashi Academy | 57c | 344.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Noir Verse | 28c | 313.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Noir Verse | 53c | 290.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Noir Verse | 37c | 279.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Sashi Academy | 51c | 272.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 32c | 253.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Sashi Academy | 55c | 232.04$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-Sashi Academy | 74c | 204$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ex-Sashi Academy | 46c | 203.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Noir Verse | 33c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 41c | 195.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Noir Verse | 74c | 137.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Noir Verse | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Noir Verse | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Noir Verse | 62c | 87.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Noir Verse | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noir Verse | 44c | 76.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 32c | 61.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-Sashi Academy | 68c | 56.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Noir Verse | 61c | 53.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked ex-Sashi Academy | 42c | 43.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Noir Verse | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed ex-Sashi Academy | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-Sashi Academy | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 73c | 19.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed ex-Sashi Academy | 68c | 16.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-Sashi Academy | 62c | 16.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group DNoir Verse won
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy - Map 2 WinnerNoir Verse won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.