TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noir Verseof Noir Verse, ex-Sashi Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse77c646.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.942755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78dd…3235backed Noir Verse66c451.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.952951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Sashi Academy25c439.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.717,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Sashi Academy29c278.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.174,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Noir Verse70c214$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3422257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-Sashi Academy35c187.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.074,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed ex-Sashi Academy28c187$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6649143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Noir Verse68c107.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.033,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-Sashi Academy25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Sashi Academy30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Sashi Academy18c97.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.853,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Noir Verse79c92.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4275245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Sashi Academy14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked ex-Sashi Academy30c63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed ex-Sashi Academy29c55.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0777146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ex-Sashi Academy35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.254,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1a…d21fbacked ex-Sashi Academy26c45.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ad…6b2fbacked Noir Verse76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.73225%8 W · 24 L-9.5wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xac71…f74cbacked Noir Verse77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.418737.9%33 W · 54 L-15.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.