South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad28551f18d52e28c02f320da559e1c8ab35ec69628530e9cb64be1756da00d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Over | 54c | 25,000$13,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,528.32 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 42c | 7,577$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.45 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 6,320$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,735$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 3,949$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,022$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Under | 50c | 1,943$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 1,307$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.99 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 922.09$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 35c | 888$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Under | 47c | 396.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 17c | 365.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…592cbacked Under | 50c | 364.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 304$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 244.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 48c | 233.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 47c | 223$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 212.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 43c | 188.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 46c | 183.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 124.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 46c | 109.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 48c | 89.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 43c | 61.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Under | 47c | 59.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 58c | 59.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Under | 48c | 59.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 49.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 49.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 47c | 48.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 47c | 45.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 47c | 29.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…3defbacked Under | 48c | 25.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…d11cbacked Over | 55c | 24.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…3971backed Under | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.