Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2b9a5c443d95a34f27d39f9e95c03db397f7ccb3a9050051f1816ca3ffc43e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 5,745$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 70c | 2,880$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,503$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,901$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.4 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 21c | 1,116$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,057$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 691.55$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 587.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 421.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6b…63d9backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 287.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 259.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 23c | 257.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 222.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 214.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 29c | 205$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 21c | 161.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 149$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 146$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…6e2bbacked Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 56.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 57c | 49.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 26c | 47.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 74c | 47.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 43.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 42.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 38c | 39.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 33c | 35.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 33c | 34.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 79c | 26.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed No | 79c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 77c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.