Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb4f40eef38defa492f28c0699edaa3c9051b249cd5ad642cd225779872bdd51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 6,105$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 16c | 5,149$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,622$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 76c | 1,409$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 1,358$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,280$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 985.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 13c | 950$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 852.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 701.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 697.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 602.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 79c | 569.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…83d6backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 410$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 406.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 376.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 355.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 326.47$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…3195backed Yes | 5c | 297.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 287.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 36c | 244$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 13c | 180.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 22c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 116.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 28c | 109$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Yes | 38c | 108.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…718dbacked Yes | 40c | 102.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…e73ebacked Yes | 42c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 29c | 75.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 17c | 71.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…637abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 37.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 34c | 33.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 30.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 35c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 41c | 27.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 76c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.