MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad48a1e7cc96f4223dd0edbd32f6f88fb67ee1d74fb707594c74132d99c6a24e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 891.49$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 699.98$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 673.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 421$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 390.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 23c | 362.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 59c | 340.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed KT Wiz | 60c | 337.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 324.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed KT Wiz | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…bd67backed Doosan Bears | 8c | 203.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked KT Wiz | 61c | 179.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 131.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 105.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…090cbacked KT Wiz | 61c | 97.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 31c | 89.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 76c | 82.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 72.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 51.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed KT Wiz | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 38.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked KT Wiz | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed KT Wiz | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KT Wiz | 66c | 27.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5afbbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…f383backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…cca3backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…9c0bbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…1fe6backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b654backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed KT Wiz | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed KT Wiz | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.