Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Mia Slama vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad618c1d58795006fe7542faecdc2e51a9c6d11e213fe94eda1ed27e8949a4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Slamaof Mia Slama, Ana Sofia Sanchez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mia Slama | 55c | 4,933$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 46c | 4,340$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.4 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Mia Slama | 45c | 1,308$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.56 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 590.42$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 44c | 512.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 6c | 265$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 6c | 233.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mia Slama | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mia Slama | 65c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 65.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 48c | 64.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 60c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mia Slama | 45c | 52.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mia Slama | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 39c | 49.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Mia Slama | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 46c | 41.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mia Slama | 59c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 38c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 43c | 31.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mia Slama | 58c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Ana Sofia Sanchez | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mia Slama | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mia Slama | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ana Sofia Sanchez | 59c | 17.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mia Slama | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.