CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8b5a609a6af3e1f3c66d4c3a454c39a6d4b4d4c25e2bf5ea1dd7c205c42f80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 77c | 45,628$35,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,491.69 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed MOUZ | 78c | 8,974$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.36 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 6,376$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.67 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 4,949$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.77 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 16c | 2,129$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 2,127$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.58 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 1,799$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.17 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Gentle Mates | 17c | 1,159$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Gentle Mates | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Gentle Mates | 26c | 776.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 722$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked MOUZ | 80c | 678.51$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 466.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed MOUZ | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked MOUZ | 79c | 380.34$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 78c | 215$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked MOUZ | 78c | 137.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked MOUZ | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Gentle Mates | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed MOUZ | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 93.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 86.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 78c | 65.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Gentle Mates | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed MOUZ | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed MOUZ | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed MOUZ | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.