Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada8a9b488b23124f69a72276d99b6500cad99a7ec339af93b0e43404196f696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 0c | 309,107$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 4,751$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.84 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,363$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,981$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.07 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,248$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 960.82$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 719.3$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 640.04$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 23c | 434.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 161.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 77c | 149.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13b…f182backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 77c | 129.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 22c | 94.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 77c | 90.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 77c | 90.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 78c | 81.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 69.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 77c | 58.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 77c | 58.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…fa42backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 78c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-07-27?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.