Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadb31a16bc9cdcc10340da55b97044e869910e5161577859f9d1174aa513232a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bohemian Guardiansof Bohemian Guardians, Onion Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Bohemian Guardians | 21c | 1,015$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.33 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Onion Team | 79c | 547.36$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Onion Team | 80c | 499.84$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Onion Team | 66c | 159$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Bohemian Guardians | 56c | 87.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Bohemian Guardians | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Bohemian Guardians | 25c | 79.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Bohemian Guardians | 64c | 75.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Onion Team | 44c | 70.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Onion Team | 79c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Onion Team | 80c | 44.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Onion Team | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Onion Team | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Onion Team | 75c | 26.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a215backed Bohemian Guardians | 64c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs Onion Team - Game 1 WinnerBohemian Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.