Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadca017c3c71648634462f5238f9b5e9ddc5d3a2d0edb6ee8f19ee6fa9223dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryland Terrapinsof Northwestern Wildcats, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 14,638$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,055.03 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 5,311$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 3,205$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.9 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Northwestern Wildcats | 46c | 2,914$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.38 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 2,682$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.39 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.05 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.8 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 1,218$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 900$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.48 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 640$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 480$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 464.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 437.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 296.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 283.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bf…1ab0backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 201.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 124.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 58c | 86.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 48.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 40.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 35.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 27.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northwestern Wildcats | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Northwestern Wildcats | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-8.5)this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern Wildcats won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 142.5Over won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-7.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.