Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd810408752f0f35acecf7b3d741b6109b79161718e1a83c2cfe22eab3fa799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Chivas Esports, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked LYON | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 3,190$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.44 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…1a0cbacked LYON | 75c | 396$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…ea42backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 264$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…96d5backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 264$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…c3a3backed LYON | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…9a65backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…af18backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce93…6d96backed LYON | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4586…5245backed Chivas Esports | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…556ebacked LYON | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Chivas Esports | 35c | 29.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Chivas Esports (+1.5)LYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group StageLYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.