Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4435b6d940504d9c416bbd5499f0fc856db57948b49e1f62ce828b77b198a2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Chivas Esports, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked LYON | 80c | 4,923$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.41 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Chivas Esports | 21c | 1,109$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed LYON | 80c | 1,099$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Chivas Esports | 22c | 937.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Chivas Esports | 8c | 715.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chivas Esports | 23c | 709$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Chivas Esports | 21c | 599.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Chivas Esports | 22c | 503$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chivas Esports | 20c | 338.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Chivas Esports | 23c | 272.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Chivas Esports | 23c | 237.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chivas Esports | 17c | 228.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…3575backed Chivas Esports | 22c | 207.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Chivas Esports | 23c | 205.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Chivas Esports | 16c | 201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chivas Esports | 23c | 155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked LYON | 72c | 131.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chivas Esports | 21c | 121.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Chivas Esports | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed LYON | 70c | 88.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Chivas Esports | 14c | 79.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Chivas Esports | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked LYON | 69c | 72.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chivas Esports | 21c | 68.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Chivas Esports | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Chivas Esports | 21c | 60.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chivas Esports | 17c | 58.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…e01dbacked Chivas Esports | 23c | 46.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Chivas Esports | 25c | 42.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LYON | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked LYON | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs Chivas Esports (+1.5)LYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.