Euroleague · resolved market
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4c0bb208dc294c60b7da1f48d74232a0f330a3162868d1b11d950bf481f0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Jiangsu Dragons, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 1,037$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 509.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 403.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 359$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 259.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 159$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 127.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 88.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 87.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 56.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 34.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…1e02backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.