Lol · resolved market
LoL: LEO vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb3360cfe49e7f466107d9e06d65c56107d90a3a0b566a81695e8b08a4d7091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof LEO, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LEO | 0c | 4,566$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Verdant | 63c | 1,003$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.17 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…fa8dbacked LEO | 10c | 832.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…e55abacked LEO | 6c | 663$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed LEO | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked LEO | 37c | 351.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Verdant | 65c | 320$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked LEO | 36c | 287.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Verdant | 80c | 233.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed LEO | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked LEO | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Verdant | 65c | 155$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked LEO | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed LEO | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked LEO | 37c | 98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Verdant | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Verdant | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Verdant | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…eb3ebacked Verdant | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Verdant | 64c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.