Tennis · resolved market
Sao Paulo: Emilio Nava vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec4d50cb91be730cfc52eff910e25a4bb1eeda0bd08c69f90e8738544b263d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emilio Navaof Emilio Nava, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 1,722$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 938.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.76 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 5c | 736.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 9c | 671.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 16c | 561.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 16c | 499.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 8c | 480.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 16c | 326$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 13c | 318.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 241.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 222.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…804ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 13c | 188.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 14.2%22 W · 133 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 153.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 144.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 127.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 14c | 114.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 99.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 16c | 98.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 85.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 15c | 75.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 62.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 18c | 57.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.