Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeeba8a3238e9573cf705f99e8167caa86e00ed87ff8303653e12f83cd4a48c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Taawoun Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Taawoun Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 49c | 210,660$102,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,903.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 199,603$105,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,813.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 7,424$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 47c | 2,846$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.77 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 1,461$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.21 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c69backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 21c | 366.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 32c | 182.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 180.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 134.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 134.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 49c | 102.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 51c | 90.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 47c | 51.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 56c | 43.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 33c | 42.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 53c | 33.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.