Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Jiajing Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeedaa07a4cf3422758e7284c95ab749cd2c461424a0146e7a5eac021856ee20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Mai Hontama, Jiajing Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jiajing Lu | 25c | 27,460$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama | 75c | 13,621$10,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jiajing Lu | 12c | 9,048$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.71 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mai Hontama | 77c | 4,283$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.85 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jiajing Lu | 26c | 3,334$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.31 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiajing Lu | 15c | 1,529$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Jiajing Lu | 14c | 1,020$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Jiajing Lu | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Mai Hontama | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Jiajing Lu | 19c | 443.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…3f07backed Jiajing Lu | 16c | 414.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…6b25backed Mai Hontama | 75c | 401.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Jiajing Lu | 9c | 214.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Jiajing Lu | 11c | 191.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jiajing Lu | 26c | 158.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mai Hontama | 74c | 140.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Jiajing Lu | 8c | 126.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 111.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jiajing Lu | 16c | 108.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Jiajing Lu | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Jiajing Lu | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Jiajing Lu | 16c | 92.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Jiajing Lu | 16c | 87.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 77.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 74.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Mai Hontama | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mai Hontama | 74c | 64.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 62.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Jiajing Lu | 25c | 42.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…374ebacked Mai Hontama | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 55 | 76.4%42 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 31.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Mai Hontama | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 24.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Mai Hontama | 78c | 23.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.