Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef387e98f1057df103e71fba819351760ddce3c5ff611aa122b8138143f41dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd27c…c081backed NRG Esports | 70c | 1,478$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dorado Gaming | 30c | 789.47$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed NRG Esports | 52c | 749.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dorado Gaming | 48c | 662.89$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.28 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked NRG Esports | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Dorado Gaming | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed NRG Esports | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Dorado Gaming | 33c | 153.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Dorado Gaming | 31c | 147.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Dorado Gaming | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Dorado Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dorado Gaming | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Dorado Gaming | 31c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed NRG Esports | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed NRG Esports | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Dorado Gaming | 35c | 53.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed NRG Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NRG Esports | 66c | 29.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.