Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf671d06121d58291277d324c9ea888fc81d2c31111e6f042e9908e445c0a4fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 3,715$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.37 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Dorado Gaming | 11c | 2,894$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.31 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Dorado Gaming | 11c | 2,527$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.17 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…9722backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 2,026$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.44 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dorado Gaming | 8c | 1,918$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dorado Gaming | 11c | 999.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 935.84$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dorado Gaming | 12c | 739.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Dorado Gaming | 16c | 647.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dorado Gaming | 10c | 613.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dorado Gaming | 10c | 603.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 560.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 425.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Dorado Gaming | 11c | 247.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Dorado Gaming | 19c | 239.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 220.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 708 | 57.1%404 W · 304 L | +41.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 12c | 208.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Dorado Gaming | 10c | 186.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Dorado Gaming | 12c | 166.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dorado Gaming | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 938 | 44.3%416 W · 522 L | -31.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 128$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Dorado Gaming | 11c | 114.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 108.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed NRG Esports | 79c | 103.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 168 | 66.7%112 W · 56 L | +23.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…9af4backed Dorado Gaming | 10c | 101.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Dorado Gaming | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 40.2%100 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 86.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,049 | 46%483 W · 566 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed NRG Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.