TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ground Zero Gamingof Ground Zero Gaming, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming66c329$216 inLost-$216.4846050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ground Zero Gaming36c319.99$115 inWon+$205.442,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming64c189.63$121 inLost-$121.3663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming64c187$120 inLost-$119.6866059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Ground Zero Gaming36c177.66$64 inWon+$113.722536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming64c177.66$114 inLost-$113.726440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming60c157.97$96 inLost-$95.5642143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming63c144.52$91 inLost-$91.185547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Ground Zero Gaming37c131.01$48 inWon+$82.5438931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Ground Zero Gaming35c118.24$41 inWon+$76.8635442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Ground Zero Gaming35c107.42$37 inWon+$70.335642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Ground Zero Gaming39c80$31 inWon+$48.8123842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ground Zero Gaming35c79.99$28 inWon+$51.997441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ground Zero Gaming40c66.11$26 inWon+$39.671,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Ground Zero Gaming38c66.11$25 inWon+$40.997243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Ground Zero Gaming35c47.69$17 inWon+$31.146855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c65…2e0dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming65c38.46$25 inLost-$253060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.