Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lourinha: Tiago Torres vs Thijs Boogaard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa42361606fdaf3d1acb61df10a63406e359addb61a63ef2f693f16ab4b504a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thijs Boogaardof Tiago Torres, Thijs Boogaard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Thijs Boogaard | 58c | 1,541$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.66 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Tiago Torres | 35c | 1,358$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.18 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Tiago Torres | 46c | 738.04$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tiago Torres | 45c | 485.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tiago Torres | 44c | 447.13$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tiago Torres | 46c | 354.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tiago Torres | 41c | 337.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thijs Boogaard | 53c | 282.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Thijs Boogaard | 59c | 249.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thijs Boogaard | 59c | 217.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Thijs Boogaard | 49c | 162.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Thijs Boogaard | 49c | 159.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 137.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Tiago Torres | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Tiago Torres | 47c | 106.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiago Torres | 70c | 100.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Thijs Boogaard | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 77.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tiago Torres | 53c | 66.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Tiago Torres | 16c | 65.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Thijs Boogaard | 48c | 62.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Thijs Boogaard | 47c | 60.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thijs Boogaard | 29c | 60.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Thijs Boogaard | 67c | 57.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tiago Torres | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Thijs Boogaard | 47c | 51.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Thijs Boogaard | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiago Torres | 46c | 48.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…2bf9backed Thijs Boogaard | 27c | 44.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Thijs Boogaard | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Thijs Boogaard | 47c | 41.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Thijs Boogaard | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Thijs Boogaard | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Thijs Boogaard | 51c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tiago Torres | 57c | 30.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Tiago Torres | 46c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Thijs Boogaard | 58c | 27.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Thijs Boogaard | 65c | 26.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Thijs Boogaard | 76c | 25.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Thijs Boogaard | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Thijs Boogaard | 69c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Thijs Boogaard | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Thijs Boogaard | 56c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…f5d4backed Tiago Torres | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Lourinha: Tiago Torres vs Thijs Boogaardthis page
- Tiago Torres vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.